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Еще есть шанс купить подешевевший доллар: украинцам установили дедлайн

Еще есть шанс купить подешевевший доллар: украинцам установили дедлайн

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by Декабрь 7, 2017 Новости

Доллар падает второй день подряд, но говорить о закрепившемся тренде пока рановато. Эксперты допускают существенную просадку валюты – и даже называют конкретные сроки – но предупреждают, что тут есть одно “но”.

Курс НБУ

На 7 декабря официальный курс гривны к доллару укрепился еще на 5,5 копеек и составил 27,1091 грн/$ (с 27,1644 грн/$, установленных Нацбанком на предыдущий рабочий день). По отношению к евро официальная гривна выросла почти на 15 копеек: с 32,1816 грн/евро до 32,0348 грн/евро. Поднялся курс гривны и по отношению к российскому рублю – в пределах одной копейки: с 4,6283 грн/10 руб. до 4,6004 грн/10 руб.

Курс доллара: межбанк

6 декабря валютные торги стартовали на уровне вчерашнего закрытия, но затем валюта пошла активно дешеветь. Межбанк открылся в рамках 27,10-27,15 грн/$, после чего котировки скатились сначала к 27,12-27,14 грн/$, а затем и к 27,09-27,11 грн/$.

Завершились валютные торги 6 ноября снижением курса доллара на 2 копейки. Межбанк финишировал на уровне до 27,11-27,13 грн/$, сообщил UBR.ua начальник управления дилинговых операций Райффайзен банка Аваль Юрий Гриненко.

Курс доллара: черный рынок

По данным РБК-Украина, в обменных пунктах Украины 6 декабря курс доллара в продаже увеличился на 6 копеек – до 27,26 грн/$, а в покупке повысился на 10 копеек – до 26,98 грн/$.

Капитал сообщает, что в среду на небанковском рынке физлица, торгующие валютой, готовы купить доллар в среднем по 27,16 грн/$, а продать — по 27,25 грн/$. По сравнению со вторником, курс американской валюты в покупке вырос на 7 копеек, а в продаже – на 2 копейки.

Валютный прогноз

В четверг большинство банкиров ждет роста безналичных котировок – до 27,10-27,20 грн/$. При этом судьба гривны зависит от поведения Нацбанка, добавляют они. Так, заместитель директора департамента казначейства и международного бизнеса Банка Пивденный Олег Ропяк рассказал UBR.ua:

“При условии, если НБУ продолжит выкупать доллары вблизи текущих уровней, то рынок будет смещаться вверх, и цена не уйдет в диапазон 26,80-27,0 грн/$. Однако до 20 декабря курс еще может уйти к уровню 26,80 грн/$. Все будет зависеть от Национального банка”.

Как выяснили “Вести”, эксперты говорят о двух сценариях — оптимистическом и пессимистическом. По оптимистическому сценарию, курс доллара в начале 2018 года (январь-февраль) может быть 28 грн/$. Другое дело — пессимистический сценарий. А это уже выше 30 грн/$. “На курс гривны влияют много факторов. В частности, в следующем году нам предстоит выплатить $4 млрд внешних долгов”, — говорит руководитель Фонда Блейзера Олег Устенко. Кроме того, сказаться может и политическая ситуация: вкладывать деньги в кризис иностранные инвесторы не захотят.

При этом уже в течение зимы доллар может достигнуть курса в 28 грн/$, рассказал “Вестям” финансовый эксперт Алексей Кущ.

Напомним, в ближайшей перспективе нового витка укрепления гривны опрошенные “Вестями” эксперты не ждут. По их словам, украинцы еще увидят в обменниках курс в 28 грн/$. У гривны сейчас просто нет защитников, еще тогда предупреждал Алексей Кущ.

antikor.com.ua

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